4 – The “Moto-City Mayhem” Scenario..
Key States: Michigan, Ohio and Western states
Polls trending towards: TRUMP
Another mid-western state Trump keeps heading back to is Michigan. Rarely polled, Michigan strongly resembles neighboring Ohio where Trump has also led in almost every poll this cycle. The “Mexicans took all our jobs” and “No More Stupid Trade Deals” messages have a special resonance in Michigan which has been devastated over the past decade by both things, shipping jobs overseas and bad trade deals. This is also less likely but would signal a dramatic lack of turnout for Democrats and would likely mean Trump carries other close states.